xwOBA

Expected wOBA — what wOBA "should" be based on each ball's exit velo + launch angle.

What xwOBA means

Statcast model: replaces actual outcomes with expected outcomes inferred from quality of contact. Strips defense and ballpark luck out of the picture, so the gap between wOBA and xwOBA points to over- or under-performance due for regression.

What counts as a good xwOBA

Higher is better — roughly .290 is poor, .320 average, .350 good, and .380 or better elite.

Also written

expected_woba · xwoba_value · xwoba_con · estimated_woba_using_speedangle

Source

Statcast

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